Here are five tips looking at all regular season data dating back to 2002 to help you win your office or family bracket. Keep in mind a 9 seed defeating an 8 seed is not considered an upset. Good luck with the March Madness!

1. Want to pick a team with a seed of 10 or higher? Keep these stats in mind: Of teams with a 10 or higher seed, only three teams have won four games in the tournament and only five teams have ever won three games. Of these teams, no team was higher than a 12 seed.

2. For teams in weaker conferences (conference RPI greater than 10), it is more difficult to tell how well they will play against stronger teams. To get a better sense of their strength as a team, look at the out of conference games that they play at the beginning of the season. Even if they lose, if it’s a close game or they limit the number of points scored by the other teams, that may indicate that they are a potential cinderella team.

3. Seed Stats: 76 percent of upsets are by 10, 11, or 12 seeds (27 percent by 12 seeds alone)

4. One-third of lower-ranked teams who win in the first round are ranked within the top 30 offensively — 55 percent were ranked within the top 50.

5. Stats of winning teams  – in the past 14 years, every national champion except one was a 1, 2, 3 seed. The exception was Connecticut, a 7 seed. Every winner has been within the top eight best-or-strongest conferences. Every winner has been ranked within the top 25.

 

Content from, 5 Bracket Tips

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Clint Carver
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Clint Carver

Loan Officer at Beam Lending
Clint graduated from the University of Utah with a degree in English. His prior experience includes 10+ years working under the direction of an Architect. When not helping families and individuals through the home buying process he can be found golfing and spending time with his family. Licensed in Utah and Wyoming. NMLS#826251
Clint Carver
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